Roadmap
Page role
Future-facing lane. Use this page for planned or experimental work. If you want the shipped path today, start with Getting started. If you want near-term unreleased work with explicit graduation status, use Next release track.
Goal: Make XRTM the standard local workbench for forecasting and model evaluation with scientific rigor.
Strategic pillars
| Pillar | Focus | Audience | Status lens |
|---|---|---|---|
| Core physics | Validity, math, time | Researchers, model-eval teams | Shipped foundation first |
| Research grade | Auditability, advanced workflows | Operators, labs, teams | Mixed shipped + in progress |
| Experimental | Frontier capabilities | Exploratory users | Not a homepage claim |
Released and shipping now
| Feature | Description | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Chronos Protocol | Enforced time cutoffs to prevent look-ahead bias during backtests. | DONE |
| Calibration Engine | Platt scaling and Brier-score-oriented evaluation. | DONE |
| Sentinel Protocol | Forecast trajectory tracking over time. | DONE |
| Recursive Consensus | Supervisor-led disagreement refinement loops. | DONE |
| Truth Protocol | Tamper-evident reasoning traces and audit packaging. | DONE |
| Dossier Generator | Audit-ready research reporting outputs. | DONE |
In progress
| Feature | Description | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Epistemic Security | Source verification and anti-manipulation work. | In Progress |
Experimental or future
| Feature | Description | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Causal Reasoning | Formal DAG generation beyond current text-first reasoning traces. | Experimental |
| Prompt Compiler | Automated Brier-driven prompt optimization. | Experimental |
| Centaur Workbench | Human-in-the-loop collaboration layer. | Concept |
| ABM Simulation | Agent-based market dynamics and liquidity analysis. | Experimental |
Contribution guidance
- Highest impact: harden time-safe evaluation and adapter coverage
- Next: improve shipped researcher and operator workflows
- Later: experimental work only if you are prepared to maintain it